Sport Picks
Aberystwyth vs Llantwit Major
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Aberystwyth host Llantwit Major in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Aberystwyth at 1.38 goals for, 1.75 against; Llantwit Major at 2.13 for, 2.38 against. Head-to-head, Aberystwyth have won 1 to Llantwit Major's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.88 - 1.94) back Aberystwyth to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Llantwit Major's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what Aberystwyth have produced (1.38).
- Aberystwyth are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aberystwyth | Llantwit Major |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Aberystwyth scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Llantwit Major has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Aberystwyth has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aberystwyth
(Home)Llantwit Major
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pontypridd United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ynyshir Albions | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Newport City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Pure Swansea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Afan Lido | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 3 |
| 7 | Pontardawe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 10 | Baglan Dragons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 | Caerau Ely | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 12 | Cardiff Draconians | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 13 | Llanelli | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 14 | Caerphilly | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Treowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | 0 |
