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Aberystwyth vs Prestatyn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Park Avenue, Aberystwyth
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-5. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Aberystwyth at 1.64 goals for, 1.32 against; Prestatyn at 1.71 for, 2.39 against. Past meetings favor Aberystwyth slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2018, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.50) point toward Aberystwyth. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aberystwyth
20%
Draws
40%
Prestatyn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aberystwyth come out ahead of Prestatyn on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Prestatyn taking it.
  • Aberystwyth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Prestatyn, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aberystwyth Clean Sheet 16%
Prestatyn Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberystwyth Prestatyn
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.64 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2018 Cymru Premier
Prestatyn vs Aberystwyth
0:1
Feb 16, 2018 Cymru Premier
Aberystwyth vs Prestatyn
1:1
Dec 16, 2017 Cymru Premier
Aberystwyth vs Prestatyn
7:1
Oct 28, 2017 Cymru Premier
Prestatyn vs Aberystwyth
1:2
Jan 28, 2017 FAW Welsh Cup
Aberystwyth vs Prestatyn
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberystwyth 10 / 100
Prestatyn 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberystwyth Prestatyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prestatyn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Aberystwyth stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aberystwyth scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Prestatyn has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aberystwyth VS Prestatyn
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberystwyth

(Home)
03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3
Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
12 Sept
Caerphilly
2 : 3
Aberystwyth
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
Page 1 of 6

Prestatyn

(Away)
15 Jul
Prestatyn
1 : 0
Brickfield Rangers
04 Jul
Hawarden Rangers
0 : 7
Prestatyn
28 Jun
Greenfield
0 : 6
Prestatyn
26 Jun
Meliden
0 : 4
Prestatyn
24 Jun
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Prestatyn
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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