Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aberystwyth vs Pure Swansea

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Aberystwyth
15%
Draws
44%
Pure Swansea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Pure Swansea haven't matched Aberystwyth's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pure Swansea's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aberystwyth Clean Sheet 10%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberystwyth Pure Swansea
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.6 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Pure Swansea
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberystwyth 26 / 100
Pure Swansea 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberystwyth Pure Swansea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberystwyth scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Pure Swansea has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Aberystwyth has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aberystwyth VS Pure Swansea
1.38 Goals Scored 3.14
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberystwyth

(Home)
12 Sept
Caerphilly
2 : 3
Aberystwyth
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2
Treowen
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Pure Swansea

(Away)
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5
Pure Swansea
15 Aug
Pure Swansea
3 : 0
Llanelli
09 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 3
Pure Swansea
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 6 5 1 0 22:5 16
2 Aberystwyth 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
3 Treowen 7 4 1 2 16:10 13
4 Pontypridd United 6 4 1 1 16:11 13
5 Baglan Dragons 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
6 Carmarthen Town 7 3 2 2 17:16 11
7 Caerau Ely 7 3 1 3 16:17 10
8 Afan Lido 8 3 1 4 13:15 10
9 Trethomas Bluebirds 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
10 Ynyshir Albions 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
11 Caerphilly 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
12 Cardiff Draconians 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
13 Newport City 5 2 0 3 9:5 6
14 Pontardawe 6 1 0 5 5:13 3
15 Llanelli 8 0 2 6 6:23 2
16 Llantwit Major 5 0 1 4 2:15 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)