Sport Picks
Aberystwyth vs Trethomas Bluebirds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Aberystwyth host Trethomas Bluebirds in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Aberystwyth have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Trethomas Bluebirds's 1.65 scored and 2.23 conceded. Head-to-head, Aberystwyth have won 2 to Trethomas Bluebirds's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.44, favoring Aberystwyth. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aberystwyth carry the better recent record into this one.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Aberystwyth taking it.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aberystwyth | Trethomas Bluebirds |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trethomas Bluebirds let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Aberystwyth scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Aberystwyth has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aberystwyth
(Home)Trethomas Bluebirds
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:21 | 15 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:22 | 12 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 12 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9:33 | 2 |