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Aberystwyth vs Trethomas Bluebirds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aberystwyth host Trethomas Bluebirds in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Aberystwyth have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Trethomas Bluebirds's 1.65 scored and 2.23 conceded. Head-to-head, Aberystwyth have won 2 to Trethomas Bluebirds's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.44, favoring Aberystwyth. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aberystwyth
20%
Draws
33%
Trethomas Bluebirds
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aberystwyth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Aberystwyth carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Aberystwyth taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aberystwyth Clean Sheet 16%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberystwyth Trethomas Bluebirds
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Trethomas Bluebirds
3:0
Nov 1, 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Aberystwyth
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberystwyth 84 / 100
Trethomas Bluebirds 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberystwyth Trethomas Bluebirds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberystwyth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trethomas Bluebirds let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Aberystwyth scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Aberystwyth has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aberystwyth VS Trethomas Bluebirds
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberystwyth

(Home)
17 Oct
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Prestatyn
10 Oct
Aberystwyth
0 : 1
Caerau Ely
03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3
Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
12 Sept
Caerphilly
2 : 3
Aberystwyth
Page 1 of 6

Trethomas Bluebirds

(Away)
23 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
3 : 1
Cardiff Draconians
16 Oct
Cambrian United
5 : 0
Trethomas Bluebirds
10 Oct
Treowen
1 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3
Pontardawe
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 10 6 2 2 24:17 20
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Carmarthen Town 10 4 3 3 22:21 15
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 10 3 4 3 20:18 13
9 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
10 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
11 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
12 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
13 Cardiff Draconians 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
14 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
15 Llantwit Major 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
16 Llanelli 11 0 2 9 9:33 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)