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Aberystwyth W vs Barry Town W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aberystwyth W host Barry Town W in the Adran Premier Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Aberystwyth W have averaged 1.29 scored and 2.42 conceded recently, against Barry Town W's 1.52 scored and 2.9 conceded. Head-to-head, Aberystwyth W have won 1 to Barry Town W's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 4:3. Model xG sits at 2.38 vs 2.00, favoring Barry Town W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aberystwyth W
15%
Draws
85%
Barry Town W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barry Town W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Barry Town W average 1.52 goals a game right now, well clear of Aberystwyth W's 1.29.
  • Model gives Aberystwyth W a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Adran Premier Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Barry Town W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aberystwyth W Clean Sheet 10%
Barry Town W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberystwyth W Barry Town W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.29 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.42 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Barry Town W
4:3
Feb 15, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Barry Town W vs Aberystwyth W
3:0
Nov 16, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Barry Town W vs Aberystwyth W
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Barry Town W
2:3
Mar 23, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Barry Town W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberystwyth W 83 / 100
Barry Town W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberystwyth W Barry Town W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberystwyth W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Barry Town W conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Barry Town W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Aberystwyth W scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aberystwyth W VS Barry Town W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberystwyth W

(Home)
04 Oct
Briton Ferry W
7 : 1
Aberystwyth W
27 Sept
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
2 : 1
Aberystwyth W
20 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 7
TNS W
13 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 1
Swansea W
06 Sept
Wrexham W
4 : 0
Aberystwyth W
Page 1 of 7

Barry Town W

(Away)
04 Oct
Barry Town W
0 : 4
Swansea W
27 Sept
Barry Town W
1 : 4
Cardiff City W
20 Sept
Wrexham W
7 : 0
Barry Town W
13 Sept
TNS W
9 : 1
Barry Town W
06 Sept
Barry Town W
1 : 4
Briton Ferry W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS W 5 5 0 0 25:6 15
2 Wrexham W 5 4 0 1 25:6 12
3 Swansea W 5 4 0 1 14:6 12
4 Cardiff City W 5 3 0 2 17:11 9
5 Briton Ferry W 5 2 1 2 15:14 7
6 Cardiff Met. Ladies W 5 1 1 3 5:14 4
7 Aberystwyth W 5 0 0 5 2:21 0
8 Barry Town W 5 0 0 5 3:28 0
Promotion - Adran Premier Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Adran Premier Women (Relegation Group)