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Aberystwyth W vs Cardiff City W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aberystwyth W host Cardiff City W in the Adran Premier Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Aberystwyth W have averaged 1.25 scored and 2.41 conceded recently, against Cardiff City W's 3.21 scored and 1.41 conceded. Past meetings favor Cardiff City W slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 2.56, favoring Cardiff City W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aberystwyth W
15%
Draws
85%
Cardiff City W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Cardiff City W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cardiff City W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Cardiff City W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Aberystwyth W Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberystwyth W Cardiff City W
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 10 24
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.25 3.21
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Cardiff City W
0:4
Oct 5, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Aberystwyth W
6:1
Feb 26, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Aberystwyth W
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Cardiff City W
2:4
Mar 24, 2024 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Cardiff City W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberystwyth W 10 / 100
Cardiff City W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberystwyth W Cardiff City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff City W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff City W has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Aberystwyth W scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Cardiff City W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aberystwyth W VS Cardiff City W
1.25 Goals Scored 2
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberystwyth W

(Home)
04 Oct
Briton Ferry W
7 : 1
Aberystwyth W
27 Sept
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
2 : 1
Aberystwyth W
20 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 7
TNS W
13 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 1
Swansea W
06 Sept
Wrexham W
4 : 0
Aberystwyth W
Page 1 of 7

Cardiff City W

(Away)
04 Oct
Cardiff City W
7 : 1
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
27 Sept
Barry Town W
1 : 4
Cardiff City W
20 Sept
Cardiff City W
3 : 2
Briton Ferry W
13 Sept
Cardiff City W
2 : 4
Wrexham W
06 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff City W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS W 5 5 0 0 25:6 15
2 Wrexham W 5 4 0 1 25:6 12
3 Swansea W 5 4 0 1 14:6 12
4 Cardiff City W 5 3 0 2 17:11 9
5 Briton Ferry W 5 2 1 2 15:14 7
6 Cardiff Met. Ladies W 5 1 1 3 5:14 4
7 Aberystwyth W 5 0 0 5 2:21 0
8 Barry Town W 5 0 0 5 3:28 0
Promotion - Adran Premier Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Adran Premier Women (Relegation Group)