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Abha vs Al Hazem Rass - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
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Match Events

3' Event
Al Dwehe A.
Assist: Al Shamrani A.
27'
Ben Hamida M.
40' Event
Al Shamrani A.
Assist: Bendebka S.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Abha and Al Hazem Rass finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Hazem Rass.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Abha
35%
Draws
46%
Al Hazem Rass
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Hazem Rass

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Abha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Abha Clean Sheet 15%
Al Hazem Rass Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abha Al Hazem Rass
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Hazem Rass
1:2
Mar 4, 2025 Division 1
Abha vs Al Hazem Rass
1:1
Oct 23, 2024 Division 1
Al Hazem Rass vs Abha
4:1
May 27, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Hazem Rass vs Abha
2:1
Dec 14, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Hazem Rass
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Abha Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Dawsari M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Hazem Rass Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Dwehe A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Shamrani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abha 31 / 100
Al Hazem Rass 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abha Al Hazem Rass

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hazem Rass let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Abha's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Abha remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Abha VS Al Hazem Rass
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Abha

(Home)
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
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Al Hazem Rass

(Away)
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 0
Al Taawon
05 Sept
Al Faisaly
0 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
24 Aug
Al Ittihad
3 : 2
Al Hazem Rass
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
2 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
3 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
4 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
5 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
6 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
7 Al Kholood 8 3 3 2 12:15 12
8 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
9 Al Diriyah 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
16 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
17 Al Fateh 8 0 3 5 4:15 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)