Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Abha vs Al Jubail

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Dambelley A.
Assist: Muralha
33'
Abuyabes M.
68'
Sub
Al Shardi B. In: Al Otaibi S.
Out: Al Shardi B.

AI Match Summary

Abha in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Abha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Abha
15%
Draws
0%
Al Jubail
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Abha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Abha have won more games recently than Al Jubail.
  • Win probability leans Abha's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Abha here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Abha Clean Sheet 68%
Al Jubail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abha Al Jubail
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.45 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.70 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Division 1
Abha vs Al Jubail
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Division 1
Al Jubail vs Abha
0:3
Mar 16, 2025 Division 1
Abha vs Al Jubail
4:0
Nov 5, 2024 Division 1
Al Jubail vs Abha
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Abha Compare

Top Goalscorer Dambelley A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sow S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.85

Al Jubail Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abha 86 / 100
Al Jubail 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abha Al Jubail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Abha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Jubail has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Al Jubail registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Abha scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Abha VS Al Jubail
1 Goals Scored 0.8
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.4
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Abha

(Home)
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
22 Aug
Al Ahli SC
4 : 0
Abha
16 Aug
Al Orubah
1 : 0
Abha
13 Aug
Abha
1 : 2
Al Hazem Rass
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Al Jubail

(Away)
13 May
Al Adalah
2 : 0
Al Jubail
09 May
Al Jubail
0 : 2
Al-Ula
01 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
4 : 3
Al Jubail
26 Apr
Al Jubail
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
20 Apr
Al Jubail
0 : 2
Al Wehda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)