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Abha vs Al Khaleej - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
King J.
24' Event
Al Qahtani K.
Assist: Al Dawsari M.
46'
Sub
Al Eisa H. In: Al Amri S.
Out: Al Eisa H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Abha
35%
Draws
39%
Al Khaleej
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Khaleej

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Abha have won more games recently than Al Khaleej.
  • Win probability leans Abha's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Abha Clean Sheet 20%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abha Al Khaleej
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 16 3
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Khaleej
1:1
May 23, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Khaleej
2:1
Dec 11, 2023 King Cup
Abha vs Al Khaleej
1:2
Dec 8, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Abha
3:1
May 31, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Abha
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Abha Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Qahtani K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Al Khaleej Compare

Top Goalscorer King J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abha 42 / 100
Al Khaleej 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abha Al Khaleej

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Khaleej conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Abha scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Abha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Abha VS Al Khaleej
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Abha

(Home)
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
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Al Khaleej

(Away)
10 Oct
Al Ettifaq FC
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Khaleej
1 : 5
Al Hilal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
2 Al Qadsiah 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
8 Al Kholood 8 3 3 2 12:15 12
9 Al Diriyah 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
12 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
13 Al Fayha 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
14 Al Khaleej 8 0 6 2 4:11 6
15 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
16 Al Fateh 8 0 3 5 4:15 3
17 Al Taawon 8 0 3 5 3:15 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)