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Abha vs Al Kholood - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
Mon, Dec 7, 2026
VS
01:40 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Abha host Al Kholood in the Saudi Professional League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Kholood have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Abha have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.21. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.75) point toward Abha. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Abha
15%
Draws
64%
Al Kholood
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Kholood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Al Kholood haven't matched Abha's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Abha's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Abha Clean Sheet 12%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abha Al Kholood
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abha 56 / 100
Al Kholood 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abha Al Kholood

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Abha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kholood's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Abha's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Al Kholood lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Solid form: Abha remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Abha VS Al Kholood
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Abha

(Home)
24 Oct
Neom SC
2 : 0
Abha
16 Oct
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Abha
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
Page 1 of 6

Al Kholood

(Away)
24 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
15 Oct
Al Faisaly
3 : 2
Al Kholood
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5
Al Qadsiah
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 10 9 0 1 30:9 27
2 Al Nassr 10 8 1 1 23:8 25
3 Al Qadsiah 11 8 1 2 26:12 25
4 Al Ittihad 10 7 2 1 20:10 23
5 Al Ahli SC 10 7 0 3 27:13 21
6 Neom SC 11 6 1 4 16:9 19
7 Al Ettifaq FC 11 5 3 3 17:16 18
8 Al Diriyah 11 4 3 4 9:11 15
9 Al Kholood 10 3 3 4 14:21 12
10 Al Khaleej 11 2 6 3 10:17 12
11 Al Riyadh 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
12 Al Shabab 10 2 5 3 14:14 11
13 Al Hazem Rass 11 2 4 5 12:16 10
14 Al Fayha 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
15 Al Faisaly 10 1 4 5 11:20 7
16 Al Fateh 11 1 3 7 10:23 6
17 Al Taawon 11 0 4 7 5:19 4
18 Abha 9 0 2 7 6:17 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)