Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Abha vs Al Raed

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Gano Z.
Assist: Bouzok Y.
30'
Taira A.
45'
Al Dossary M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Abha and Al Raed finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Abha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Abha
20%
Draws
64%
Al Raed
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Raed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Abha come out ahead of Al Raed on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Raed a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Abha Clean Sheet 11%
Al Raed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abha Al Raed
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Division 1
Al Raed vs Abha
5:1
Jan 17, 2026 Division 1
Abha vs Al Raed
2:1
Dec 29, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Raed vs Abha
4:3
Aug 19, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Raed
1:0
Feb 10, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Raed vs Abha
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Abha Compare

Top Goalscorer Muralha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Al Raed Compare

Top Goalscorer Gano Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abha 18 / 100
Al Raed 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abha Al Raed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abha scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Al Raed conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Al Raed has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Abha VS Al Raed
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Abha

(Home)
31 Jul
Rizespor
0 : 0
Abha
19 Jul
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Abha
13 May
Al Raed
5 : 1
Abha
09 May
Abha
0 : 1
Al Adalah
01 May
Al Diriyah
2 : 0
Abha
Page 1 of 6

Al Raed

(Away)
30 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Raed
13 May
Al Raed
5 : 1
Abha
09 May
Al Zulfi
2 : 2
Al Raed
02 May
Al-Ula
2 : 1
Al Raed
27 Apr
Al Raed
1 : 2
Al-Faisaly
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)