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Abi Al Ashar vs Shabab Al-Ghar

Libya Libya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Abi Al Ashar host Shabab Al-Ghar in the Premier League. Shabab Al-Ghar go into this one as the clear favorite. Abi Al Ashar have averaged 0.5 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Shabab Al-Ghar's 0.88 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Shabab Al-Ghar slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Shabab Al-Ghar. Shabab Al-Ghar in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Abi Al Ashar
28%
Draws
50%
Shabab Al-Ghar
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Shabab Al-Ghar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Shabab Al-Ghar has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Abi Al Ashar.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Shabab Al-Ghar.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Abi Al Ashar Clean Sheet 20%
Shabab Al-Ghar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abi Al Ashar Shabab Al-Ghar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Premier League
Shabab Al-Ghar vs Abi Al Ashar
0:0
Jan 2, 2026 Premier League
Abi Al Ashar vs Shabab Al-Ghar
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abi Al Ashar 24 / 100
Shabab Al-Ghar 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abi Al Ashar Shabab Al-Ghar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abi Al Ashar scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Shabab Al-Ghar let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Abi Al Ashar went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Shabab Al-Ghar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Abi Al Ashar VS Shabab Al-Ghar
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Tripoli18152147:947
2Asswehly18134135:943
3Al Madina1884623:2228
4Al Watan1865714:1823
5Assabah1864812:1822
6Al Malaab El Libby1855815:2120
7Al-Khmes1855819:3120
8Al Qadisiyah18621011:2419
9Al Dahra18351020:2714
10Abu Salim18341113:3013
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad16133035:942
2Olympic Azzaweya1694325:1131
3Al Ittihad Misurata1676321:1127
4Al-Majd1665514:1323
5Al Shomooa1664624:1922
6Shabab Al-Ghar1646617:2718
7Al Tirsana1637615:2316
8Ittihad Gharyan16241010:2510
9Abi Al Ashar1613129:326
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Military Union16105126:935
2Al Hilal Benghazi16104220:1134
3Al Ahly Benghazi1696123:633
4Al Taawun1675419:1426
5Darnes1655616:1620
6Al Sadaqa1654716:1719
7Al-Anwar1618712:2311
8Al Borouq1624107:2110
9Al-Suqoor16131213:356
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nasr14112128:735
2Al Akhdar1484216:928
3Al-Afreeki1472529:1823
4Al Tahaddi1456321:1421
5Khaleej Sirte1454525:2219
6Wefaq Ajdabiya1453613:1718
7Al Murooj SC1441916:2413
8Al-Andalus1400141:380