Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Abi Al Ashar vs Shabab Al-Ghar

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shabab Al-Ghar in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shabab Al-Ghar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Abi Al Ashar
20%
Draws
80%
Shabab Al-Ghar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shabab Al-Ghar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shabab Al-Ghar lately — more wins on the board than Abi Al Ashar.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Shabab Al-Ghar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Abi Al Ashar Clean Sheet 20%
Shabab Al-Ghar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abi Al Ashar Shabab Al-Ghar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Premier League
Shabab Al-Ghar vs Abi Al Ashar
0:0
Jan 2, 2026 Premier League
Abi Al Ashar vs Shabab Al-Ghar
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abi Al Ashar 24 / 100
Shabab Al-Ghar 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abi Al Ashar Shabab Al-Ghar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shabab Al-Ghar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabab Al-Ghar let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Shabab Al-Ghar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Abi Al Ashar found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Abi Al Ashar VS Shabab Al-Ghar
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Abi Al Ashar

(Home)
25 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 8
Al Shomooa
15 Apr
Al-Majd
1 : 0
Abi Al Ashar
10 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 1
Ittihad Gharyan
17 Mar
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0
Abi Al Ashar
12 Mar
Abi Al Ashar
1 : 2
Al Tirsana
Page 1 of 6

Shabab Al-Ghar

(Away)
25 Apr
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0
Shabab Al-Ghar
20 Apr
Shabab Al-Ghar
3 : 3
Al Tirsana
11 Apr
Al-Ittihad
4 : 1
Shabab Al-Ghar
17 Mar
Shabab Al-Ghar
0 : 0
Olympic Azzaweya
11 Mar
Al Shomooa
3 : 1
Shabab Al-Ghar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)