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Abia Comets vs Ekiti United

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NNL 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Abia Comets
15%
Draws
51%
Ekiti United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ekiti United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ekiti United lately — more wins on the board than Abia Comets.
  • Model gives Ekiti United a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Abia Comets Clean Sheet 12%
Ekiti United Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abia Comets Ekiti United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 2
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 NNL
Abia Comets vs Ekiti United
0:0
Nov 19, 2023 NNL
Ekiti United vs Abia Comets
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abia Comets 10 / 100
Ekiti United 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abia Comets Ekiti United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ekiti United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekiti United has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Abia Comets scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Abia Comets went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Abia Comets VS Ekiti United
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Abia Comets

(Home)
11 Apr
Smart City
3 : 1
Abia Comets
04 Apr
Beyond Limits FC
5 : 1
Abia Comets
28 Mar
Abia Comets
2 : 1
Crown FC
25 Mar
Edel FC
2 : 1
Abia Comets
14 Mar
Abia Comets
2 : 1
Gateway United
Page 1 of 7

Ekiti United

(Away)
16 Apr
Stormers
0 : 2
Ekiti United
12 Apr
Ekiti United
3 : 1
Rovers FC
29 Mar
Akwa United
3 : 1
Ekiti United
25 Mar
Ekiti United
1 : 0
Abakaliki
14 Mar
Solution
1 : 0
Ekiti United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madiba 22 14 4 4 35:14 46
2 Beyond Limits FC 22 11 7 4 39:20 40
3 Edel FC 22 11 4 7 22:19 37
4 Smart City 22 9 6 7 32:23 33
5 Abia Comets 22 8 8 6 23:27 32
6 Coal City 22 10 1 11 24:25 31
7 Dakkada FC 22 7 7 8 22:25 28
8 Rovers FC 22 8 4 10 18:23 28
9 Vandrezzer 22 7 5 10 20:31 26
10 Stormers 22 7 3 12 25:32 24
11 Ekiti United 22 7 3 12 21:32 24
12 1472 FC 22 4 6 12 27:37 18
Promotion - NNL 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ikorodu City 20 10 6 4 29:14 36
2 Inter Lagos 20 11 2 7 34:24 35
3 Osun United 20 8 6 6 17:13 30
4 Ijebu 20 8 5 7 23:21 29
5 Gateway United 20 8 5 7 18:23 29
6 Crown FC 20 8 4 8 23:20 28
7 Warri Wolves 20 8 4 8 21:24 28
8 Solution 20 8 4 8 14:18 28
9 One Rocket 20 7 4 9 16:18 25
10 Giant Brillars 20 6 6 8 20:22 24
11 Tradesafe 20 3 4 13 13:31 13
Promotion - NNL 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Kanemi Warriors 16 10 4 2 20:9 34
2 Nasarawa United 16 10 3 3 20:8 33
3 Wikki Tourists 16 9 5 2 31:12 32
4 Yobe Stars 16 6 5 5 18:17 23
5 Zamfara United 16 5 3 8 15:18 18
6 Mighty Jets 16 3 8 5 15:20 17
7 Nigeria Airforce FC 16 4 3 9 10:16 15
8 ABS 16 2 6 8 5:19 12
9 EFCC FC 16 2 5 9 9:24 11
Promotion - NNL 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sokoto United 12 7 2 3 16:10 23
2 Sporting Supreme 12 6 4 2 18:9 22
3 Adamawa Utd 12 3 6 3 6:9 15
4 Kebbi 12 3 5 4 13:11 14
5 Mailantarki Care 12 3 5 4 11:14 14
6 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 4 2 6 9:14 14
7 City FC Abuja 12 2 4 6 10:16 10
8 Malumfashi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NNL 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)