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AC Belluno vs Adriese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Beltrame P.
62' Event
Band L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
AC Belluno
20%
Draws
0%
Adriese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AC Belluno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AC Belluno lately — more wins on the board than Adriese.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
AC Belluno Clean Sheet 68%
Adriese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Belluno Adriese
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 6
Draws 14 5
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.07 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2021 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Adriese
1:1
Jan 6, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs AC Belluno
2:1
Mar 25, 2020 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Adriese
0:0
Oct 30, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs AC Belluno
1:3
Feb 17, 2019 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Adriese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Belluno Compare

Top Goalscorer Band L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Adriese Compare

Top Goalscorer Beltrame P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Belluno 41 / 100
Adriese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Belluno Adriese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Belluno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AC Belluno scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Adriese has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Difficult form: Adriese registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Adriese
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Belluno

(Home)
20 Jul
Lazio
11 : 0
AC Belluno
12 Jun
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 2
AC Belluno
06 Jun
AC Belluno
0 : 3
Delta Porto Tolle
30 May
Campodarsego
1 : 1
AC Belluno
23 May
AC Belluno
1 : 0
Chions
Page 1 of 6

Adriese

(Away)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trento 38 23 12 3 65:35 81
2 Arzignano 38 19 10 9 52:34 67
3 Manzanese 38 19 9 10 64:44 66
4 Clodiense 38 17 11 10 51:41 62
5 Caldiero Terme 38 15 16 7 56:36 61
6 Mestre 38 18 6 14 58:49 60
7 Delta Porto Tolle 38 17 7 14 51:38 58
8 Luparense FC 38 15 9 14 52:48 54
9 AC Belluno 38 12 17 9 43:45 53
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 13 13 12 60:60 52
11 Cartigliano 38 13 13 12 42:45 52
12 San Giorgio-Sedico 38 13 10 15 48:48 49
13 Adriese 38 13 10 15 55:64 49
14 Ambrosiana 38 11 14 13 57:64 47
15 Este 38 9 16 13 45:53 43
16 Campodarsego 38 10 10 18 41:48 40
17 Union Feltre 38 10 9 19 41:59 39
18 Virtus Bolzano 38 10 8 20 46:52 38
19 Montebelluna 38 10 8 20 41:67 38
20 Chions 38 3 12 23 30:68 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 (Play Offs)