Sport Picks

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AC Belluno vs Arzignano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Cavaliere G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 game between AC Belluno and Arzignano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AC Belluno
20%
Draws
44%
Arzignano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arzignano come out ahead of AC Belluno on wins alone.
  • Model gives Arzignano a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
AC Belluno Clean Sheet 23%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Belluno Arzignano
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 8 21
Draws 14 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.57 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2021 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Arzignano
0:1
Oct 7, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Arzignano vs AC Belluno
0:1
Mar 17, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Arzignano vs AC Belluno
3:2
Nov 14, 2018 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Arzignano
0:0
Feb 18, 2018 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Arzignano
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Belluno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Arzignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavaliere G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Belluno 10 / 100
Arzignano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Belluno Arzignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzignano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Belluno found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: AC Belluno remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Arzignano registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arzignano
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Belluno

(Home)
20 Jul
Lazio
11 : 0
AC Belluno
12 Jun
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 2
AC Belluno
06 Jun
AC Belluno
0 : 3
Delta Porto Tolle
30 May
Campodarsego
1 : 1
AC Belluno
23 May
AC Belluno
1 : 0
Chions
Page 1 of 6

Arzignano

(Away)
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1
Arzignano
02 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trento 38 23 12 3 65:35 81
2 Arzignano 38 19 10 9 52:34 67
3 Manzanese 38 19 9 10 64:44 66
4 Clodiense 38 17 11 10 51:41 62
5 Caldiero Terme 38 15 16 7 56:36 61
6 Mestre 38 18 6 14 58:49 60
7 Delta Porto Tolle 38 17 7 14 51:38 58
8 Luparense FC 38 15 9 14 52:48 54
9 AC Belluno 38 12 17 9 43:45 53
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 13 13 12 60:60 52
11 Cartigliano 38 13 13 12 42:45 52
12 San Giorgio-Sedico 38 13 10 15 48:48 49
13 Adriese 38 13 10 15 55:64 49
14 Ambrosiana 38 11 14 13 57:64 47
15 Este 38 9 16 13 45:53 43
16 Campodarsego 38 10 10 18 41:48 40
17 Union Feltre 38 10 9 19 41:59 39
18 Virtus Bolzano 38 10 8 20 46:52 38
19 Montebelluna 38 10 8 20 41:67 38
20 Chions 38 3 12 23 30:68 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 (Play Offs)