Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Chieri vs Castellazzo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 game between AC Chieri and Castellazzo finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Chieri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AC Chieri
35%
Draws
19%
Castellazzo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AC Chieri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Castellazzo haven't matched AC Chieri's recent run of results.
  • AC Chieri are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and AC Chieri have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 15%
Castellazzo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Chieri Castellazzo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2018 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Castellazzo
5:2
Dec 17, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Castellazzo vs AC Chieri
1:4
Apr 17, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Castellazzo vs AC Chieri
2:4
Nov 29, 2015 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Castellazzo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Chieri 84 / 100
Castellazzo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Chieri Castellazzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Chieri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellazzo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.

AC Chieri found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

AC Chieri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AC Chieri VS Castellazzo
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Chieri

(Home)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
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Castellazzo

(Away)
08 Aug
Club Milano
0 : 0
Castellazzo
06 May
AC Chieri
5 : 2
Castellazzo
29 Apr
Castellazzo
0 : 0
Borgaro
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
2 : 2
Castellazzo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)