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AC Chieri vs Stresa Vergante

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Ponsat G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 game between AC Chieri and Stresa Vergante finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Chieri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
AC Chieri
39%
Draws
31%
Stresa Vergante
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Chieri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • AC Chieri have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 68%
Stresa Vergante Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Chieri Stresa Vergante
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 10
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2023 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Stresa Vergante
1:0
Oct 5, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Stresa Vergante vs AC Chieri
4:0
Jan 20, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Stresa Vergante vs AC Chieri
0:2
Sep 29, 2018 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Stresa Vergante
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Chieri Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponsat G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Stresa Vergante Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Chieri 41 / 100
Stresa Vergante 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Chieri Stresa Vergante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Chieri scored in 62% of their last 37 games.

Stresa Vergante's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

AC Chieri went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Chieri VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Chieri

(Home)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
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Stresa Vergante

(Away)
07 May
Stresa Vergante
0 : 0
Sanremese
30 Apr
Castanese
1 : 1
Stresa Vergante
23 Apr
Stresa Vergante
1 : 0
Legnano
16 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 0
Stresa Vergante
06 Apr
Stresa Vergante
1 : 1
Bra
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sestri Levante38304477:2994
2Sanremese382111659:3374
3Bra382111659:3174
4Vado381912761:4069
5Ligorna381715650:3666
6Legnano381791253:3560
7Asti Calcio381318744:3557
8Gozzano381671551:4855
9Borgosesia Calcio3814101454:5452
10PDHA3812111533:4347
11Castellanzese3811131451:5546
12AC Chieri3810151341:4545
13Fezzanese3811121547:5845
14Chisola3811101743:5343
15Pinerolo388181238:4442
16Derthona FbC389151455:6242
17Castanese389121743:5739
18Stresa Vergante387131837:4734
19Casale38592428:7924
20Fossano381112640:8014
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)