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AC Chieri vs Vado

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Vita D.
49' Event
Alfiero V.
66' Event
Becchi A.

AI Match Summary

Vado in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
AC Chieri
20%
Draws
10%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AC Chieri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Vado have won more games recently than AC Chieri.
  • Model gives AC Chieri a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 68%
Vado Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Chieri Vado
Matches Played 29 42
Wins 6 25
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.86 2.02
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Vado
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs AC Chieri
2:0
Jan 13, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs AC Chieri
4:1
Sep 16, 2023 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Vado
0:0
Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Vado
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Chieri Compare

Top Goalscorer Becchi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Vita D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alfiero V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Chieri 95 / 100
Vado 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Chieri Vado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Chieri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Chieri scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

AC Chieri went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Vado has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vado
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Chieri

(Home)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

Vado

(Away)
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0
Vado
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0
Vado
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)