Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Ribaudo S.
13'
13'
Valagussa P.
33'
33'
Henry T.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between AC Chieri and Varese FC finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Chieri
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- AC Chieri haven't matched Varese FC's recent run of results.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 20%
Varese FC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AC Chieri | Varese FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Varese FC
2:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Varese FC vs AC Chieri
2:1
Mar 2, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Varese FC vs AC Chieri
1:1
Oct 29, 2023 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Varese FC
2:1
Feb 20, 2022 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Varese FC
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AC Chieri Compare
Top Goalscorer Ribaudo S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Henry T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Varese FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Valagussa P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Priola G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AC Chieri 31 / 100
Varese FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AC Chieri Varese FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AC Chieri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AC Chieri scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Varese FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
AC Chieri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Varese FC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AC Chieri
(Home) 11 May
Cairese
2 : 0 AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1 Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1 AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2 Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1 AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1 Borgaro
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2 Sanremese
06 Apr
AC Chieri
2 : 2 Varese FC
23 Mar
AC Chieri
3 : 0 Imperia Calcio
16 Feb
AC Chieri
0 : 2 Gozzano
Page 1 of 3
Varese FC
(Away) 07 Oct
Varese FC
2 : 5 Pro Patria
04 Oct
Crema
3 : 2 Varese FC
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1 Lentigione
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Varese FC
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0 Varese FC
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Crema
3 : 2 Varese FC
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Varese FC
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0 Varese FC
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1 Varese FC
08 Aug
Renate
2 : 0 Varese FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bra | 36 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 70:24 | 78 |
| 2 | NovaRomentin | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 75:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Gozzano | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 52:34 | 65 |
| 4 | Vado | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 51:37 | 65 |
| 5 | Lavagnese | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 49:35 | 64 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 47:34 | 62 |
| 7 | Ligorna | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 55:42 | 58 |
| 8 | Chisola | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 43:37 | 50 |
| 9 | Saluzzo | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 39:35 | 50 |
| 10 | Sanremese | 36 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 31:33 | 45 |
| 11 | Asti Calcio | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 36:46 | 45 |
| 12 | Derthona FbC | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 41:50 | 44 |
| 13 | Oltrepo | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 38:59 | 40 |
| 14 | Imperia Calcio | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 52:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Vogherese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 31:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Cairese | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 32:47 | 37 |
| 17 | AC Chieri | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Borgaro | 36 | 8 | 4 | 24 | 34:77 | 28 |
| 19 | Fossano | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 31:63 | 26 |
| 20 | Albenga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | -1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)
