Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Connecticut vs Seacoast United Phantoms

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between AC Connecticut and Seacoast United Phantoms finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Seacoast United Phantoms.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AC Connecticut
44%
Draws
20%
Seacoast United Phantoms
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Connecticut have managed 1.63 goals a game lately — Seacoast United Phantoms are scoring more at 2.38.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
AC Connecticut Clean Sheet 10%
Seacoast United Phantoms Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Connecticut Seacoast United Phantoms
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 USL League Two
Seacoast United Phantoms vs AC Connecticut
0:1
Jun 13, 2026 USL League Two
AC Connecticut vs Seacoast United Phantoms
3:4
May 18, 2025 USL League Two
Seacoast United Phantoms vs AC Connecticut
0:1
Jun 26, 2024 USL League Two
AC Connecticut vs Seacoast United Phantoms
4:2
May 18, 2024 USL League Two
Seacoast United Phantoms vs AC Connecticut
6:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Connecticut 34 / 100
Seacoast United Phantoms 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Connecticut Seacoast United Phantoms

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Seacoast United Phantoms conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

AC Connecticut scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

AC Connecticut has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AC Connecticut VS Seacoast United Phantoms
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%