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AC Hombourg vs Zonhoven United

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2022/2023
Sun, Jul 31, 2022
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AC Hombourg play Zonhoven United in the Belgian Cup 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, AC Hombourg averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Zonhoven United averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, AC Hombourg won 1, Zonhoven United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 31, 2022 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for AC Hombourg and 1.25 for Zonhoven United. This points to a Zonhoven United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
AC Hombourg
40%
Draws
30%
Zonhoven United
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Zonhoven United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Hombourg picked up more points recently compared to Zonhoven United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AC Hombourg Clean Sheet 19%
Zonhoven United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Hombourg Zonhoven United
Matches Played 9 1
Wins 5 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 1
Goals Scored 1.67 1
Goals Conceded 1.44 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2022 Belgian Cup
AC Hombourg vs Zonhoven United
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Hombourg 31 / 100
Zonhoven United 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Hombourg Zonhoven United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zonhoven United or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AC Hombourg attacking → ← attacking Zonhoven United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Hombourg scored in 78% of their last 9 games.

Zonhoven United let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AC Hombourg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zonhoven United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 0
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00