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AC Leon vs Chievo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Palma A.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Paloschi A.
(Penalty)
54' Event
El Kadiri Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
AC Leon
20%
Draws
42%
Chievo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chievo lately — more wins on the board than AC Leon.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 10%
Chievo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Leon Chievo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Chievo
2:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs AC Leon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer El Kadiri Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chievo Compare

Top Goalscorer Turano L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Leon 34 / 100
Chievo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Leon Chievo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chievo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Leon found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Chievo has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: AC Leon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AC Leon VS Chievo
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Leon

(Home)
07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2
AC Leon
04 Oct
Club Milano
1 : 2
AC Leon
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2
Villa Valle
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
AC Leon
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
Page 1 of 6

Chievo

(Away)
07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Chievo
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0
Tritium
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0
Chievo
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0
Club Milano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)