Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Leon vs Chievo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AC Leon host Chievo in the Serie D - Group B. This one's hard to separate. Chievo have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while AC Leon have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.47. Past meetings favor AC Leon slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.69, favoring AC Leon. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AC Leon
20%
Draws
33%
Chievo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AC Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Chievo have won more games recently than AC Leon.
  • Win probability leans AC Leon's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 13%
Chievo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Leon Chievo
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 15 18
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Chievo
2:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs AC Leon
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Leon 39 / 100
Chievo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Leon Chievo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Leon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Leon scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Chievo has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: AC Leon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AC Leon VS Chievo
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Leon

(Home)
11 Oct
AC Leon
3 : 0
Pavonese
07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2
AC Leon
04 Oct
Club Milano
1 : 2
AC Leon
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2
Villa Valle
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
AC Leon
Page 1 of 7

Chievo

(Away)
11 Oct
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Chievo
07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Chievo
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0
Tritium
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0
Chievo
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nibbiano & Valtidone 7 6 0 1 11:3 18
2 Chievo 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
3 AC Leon 7 3 3 1 12:7 12
4 Caldiero Terme 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
5 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Villa Valle 7 2 4 1 9:6 10
7 Pro Palazzolo 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 7 2 3 2 9:8 9
9 AC Milan U23 5 3 0 2 9:9 9
10 Brusaporto 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
11 Virtus Verona 7 2 3 2 6:8 9
12 Real Calepina 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
13 Scanzorosciate 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
14 Club Milano 7 2 1 4 5:7 7
15 Pavonese 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
16 Rovato Vertovese 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 7 0 2 5 7:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)