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AC Leon vs Olginatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Belingheri G.
27' Event
Ekuban T. A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 game between AC Leon and Olginatese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olginatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AC Leon
35%
Draws
37%
Olginatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Olginatese haven't matched AC Leon's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 20%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Leon Olginatese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.32 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs AC Leon
2:1
Jan 23, 2022 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Olginatese
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Leon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Olginatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Belingheri G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekuban T. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Leon 32 / 100
Olginatese 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Leon Olginatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olginatese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

AC Leon found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AC Leon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Leon VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Leon

(Home)
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0
AC Leon
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Olginatese

(Away)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sangiuliano City 38 25 7 6 81:39 82
2 Legnano 38 19 9 10 49:44 66
3 USD Casatese 38 17 13 8 70:44 64
4 Brusaporto 38 18 10 10 62:49 64
5 Folgore Caratese 38 18 9 11 57:46 63
6 Desenzano Calvina 38 17 12 9 65:49 63
7 Breno 38 16 10 12 56:43 58
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 15 13 10 66:56 58
9 Arconatese 38 15 12 11 62:58 57
10 Franciacorta 38 13 13 12 73:80 52
11 Crema 38 12 10 16 44:52 46
12 Castellanzese 38 12 10 16 50:55 46
13 Sona 38 11 12 15 43:56 45
14 Ponte San Pietro 38 10 14 14 54:56 44
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:39 44
16 Villa Valle 38 9 12 17 49:56 39
17 Caravaggio 38 7 16 15 41:62 37
18 Vis Nova Giussano 38 10 5 23 56:77 35
19 Olginatese 38 8 11 19 43:60 35
20 AC Leon 38 8 9 21 50:88 33
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)