Sport Picks
Match Events
51'
51'
Ravasi R.
66'
66'
Perrotti M.
81'
81'
Lekaj K.
AI Match Summary
Villa Valle in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Valle.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to AC Leon lately — more wins on the board than Villa Valle.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Villa Valle have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 20%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AC Leon | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Villa Valle
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs AC Leon
1:0
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs AC Leon
5:0
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Villa Valle
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AC Leon Compare
Top Goalscorer Lekaj K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Villa Valle Compare
Top Goalscorer Ravasi R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Perrotti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AC Leon 32 / 100
Villa Valle 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AC Leon Villa Valle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villa Valle let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
AC Leon scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Recent resilience: AC Leon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AC Leon VS Villa Valle
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
AC Leon
(Home) 13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2 AC Leon
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0 AC Leon
03 May
USD Casatese
1 : 0 AC Leon
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2 Chievo
19 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0 AC Leon
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2 Chievo
02 Apr
AC Leon
3 : 1 Pavia
22 Mar
AC Leon
3 : 2 Vogherese
01 Mar
AC Leon
1 : 2 Villa Valle
15 Feb
AC Leon
4 : 1 Sondrio
Page 1 of 3
Villa Valle
(Away) 03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3 Oltrepo
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 Villa Valle
12 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
02 Apr
AC Milan U23
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 Villa Valle
02 Apr
AC Milan U23
1 : 1 Villa Valle
21 Mar
Chievo
3 : 1 Villa Valle
01 Mar
AC Leon
1 : 2 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
