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AC Milan vs Bologna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro), Milan
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AC Milan host Bologna in the Serie A. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Bologna have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while AC Milan have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor AC Milan slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 3, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.56 - 0.94) back AC Milan to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AC Milan
30%
Draws
23%
Bologna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Milan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Milan have won more games recently than Bologna.
  • Win probability leans AC Milan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
AC Milan Clean Sheet 20%
Bologna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Milan Bologna
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Serie A
Bologna vs AC Milan
0:3
Sep 14, 2025 Serie A
AC Milan vs Bologna
1:0
May 14, 2025 Coppa Italia
AC Milan vs Bologna
0:1
May 9, 2025 Serie A
AC Milan vs Bologna
3:1
Feb 27, 2025 Serie A
Bologna vs AC Milan
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Milan 85 / 100
Bologna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Milan Bologna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Milan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bologna has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

AC Milan found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: AC Milan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Milan VS Bologna
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Milan

(Home)
18 Oct
AC Milan
3 : 2
Atalanta
15 Oct
Salzburg
0 : 4
AC Milan
11 Oct
Sassuolo
1 : 1
AC Milan
20 Sept
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2
Benfica
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Bologna

(Away)
17 Oct
Bologna
1 : 3
Inter
11 Oct
Lecce
1 : 2
Bologna
19 Sept
Bologna
1 : 1
Torino
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 7 6 1 0 21:9 19
2 Lazio 7 6 1 0 14:4 19
3 AS Roma 7 5 2 0 16:3 17
4 AC Milan 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
5 Como 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
6 Frosinone 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
7 Cagliari 7 4 1 2 6:7 13
8 Juventus 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
9 Napoli 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
10 Torino 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
11 Atalanta 7 3 0 4 10:11 9
12 Lecce 7 3 0 4 9:12 9
13 Sassuolo 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
14 Monza 7 2 1 4 13:15 7
15 Bologna 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
16 Udinese 7 1 1 5 9:16 4
17 Genoa 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
18 Fiorentina 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
19 Parma 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Venezia 7 1 0 6 6:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)