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AC Milan vs Venezia

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro)
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AC Milan host Venezia in the Serie A. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: AC Milan at 0.75 goals for, 1.5 against; Venezia at 2.13 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, AC Milan have won 5 to Venezia's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.81, favoring Venezia. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
AC Milan
11%
Draws
80%
Venezia
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Venezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Venezia lately — more wins on the board than AC Milan.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Venezia taking it.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AC Milan have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
AC Milan Clean Sheet 11%
Venezia Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Milan Venezia
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 20
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 0.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie A
Venezia vs AC Milan
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Serie A
AC Milan vs Venezia
4:0
Jan 9, 2022 Serie A
Venezia vs AC Milan
0:3
Sep 22, 2021 Serie A
AC Milan vs Venezia
2:0
Feb 24, 2002 Serie A
Venezia vs AC Milan
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Milan 10 / 100
Venezia 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Milan Venezia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

AC Milan scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Venezia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Solid form: AC Milan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AC Milan VS Venezia
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lecce00000:00
2Bologna00000:00
3Frosinone00000:00
4Genoa00000:00
5Napoli00000:00
6Udinese00000:00
7Monza00000:00
8Sassuolo00000:00
9Venezia00000:00
10AS Roma00000:00
11Inter00000:00
12Juventus00000:00
13Fiorentina00000:00
14AC Milan00000:00
15Atalanta00000:00
16Lazio00000:00
17Cagliari00000:00
18Torino00000:00
19Parma00000:00
20Como00000:00