Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Oulu vs Gnistan

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Raatin stadion
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AC Oulu host Gnistan in the Veikkausliiga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: AC Oulu at 1 goals for, 1.13 against; Gnistan at 1.88 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, AC Oulu have won 1 to Gnistan's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 1:5. xG projections (0.94 - 1.50) back AC Oulu to edge this. AC Oulu in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AC Oulu
44%
Draws
20%
Gnistan
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AC Oulu come out ahead of Gnistan on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gnistan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 16%
Gnistan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Oulu Gnistan
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs AC Oulu
1:5
Aug 25, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs AC Oulu
3:2
May 10, 2025 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Gnistan
2:3
Sep 27, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs AC Oulu
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs AC Oulu
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Oulu 36 / 100
Gnistan 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Oulu Gnistan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AC Oulu scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Gnistan conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

AC Oulu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Oulu VS Gnistan
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS1586127:1530
2Inter Turku1586123:1230
3AC Oulu1482420:1526
4VPS1466221:1124
5HJK1464425:1722
6Gnistan1454519:1819
7TPS1454516:1619
8Lahti1444616:1516
9Ilves1544725:2916
10SJK1435618:2214
11Jaro1525815:3211
12Mariehamn1404106:294