Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Oulu vs HJK

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Raatin stadion, Oulu
AC Oulu Logo

AC Oulu

0 - 1
FT
HJK Logo

HJK

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Arsalo M.
44' Event
Gueye M.
46'
Sub
Kone A. In: Triana C.
Out: Kone A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between AC Oulu and HJK finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HJK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
AC Oulu
20%
Draws
51%
HJK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Oulu haven't matched HJK's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans HJK's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 16%
HJK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Oulu HJK
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 14 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.68 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs HJK
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs AC Oulu
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liiga Cup
AC Oulu vs HJK
2:1
Aug 21, 2025 Suomen Cup
HJK vs AC Oulu
1:0
Jul 20, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs AC Oulu
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Oulu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

HJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Oulu 23 / 100
HJK 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Oulu HJK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:8
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Oulu found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

HJK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: AC Oulu remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AC Oulu VS HJK
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Oulu

(Home)
16 Aug
AC Oulu
2 : 3
Inter Turku
09 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 1
HJK
02 Aug
AC Oulu
1 : 0
Ilves
25 Jul
Mariehamn
1 : 1
AC Oulu
18 Jul
AC Oulu
0 : 2
Gnistan
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HJK

(Away)
16 Aug
HJK
3 : 0
Jaro
13 Aug
Motherwell
2 : 0
HJK
09 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 1
HJK
06 Aug
HJK
1 : 1
Motherwell
03 Aug
SJK
3 : 0
HJK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 20 12 7 1 36:18 43
2 Inter Turku 20 10 8 2 28:16 38
3 HJK 20 10 4 6 32:23 34
4 Gnistan 20 9 5 6 32:26 32
5 VPS 20 8 6 6 28:21 30
6 AC Oulu 20 9 3 8 24:25 30
7 TPS 20 8 5 7 27:22 29
8 Lahti 20 7 5 8 23:18 26
9 Ilves 20 7 4 9 33:34 25
10 SJK 20 4 6 10 24:31 18
11 Jaro 20 3 6 11 18:41 15
12 Mariehamn 20 1 5 14 11:41 8
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)