Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Oulu vs Ilves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Raatin stadion, Oulu
AC Oulu Logo

AC Oulu

1 - 0
FT
Ilves Logo

Ilves

Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Vaisanen S.
46'
Sub
Kilo J. In: Kanga J.
Out: Kilo J.
55' Event
Kone A.
Assist: Karjalainen R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AC Oulu in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Oulu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
AC Oulu
15%
Draws
64%
Ilves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ilves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ilves lately — more wins on the board than AC Oulu.
  • Ilves are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 20%
Ilves Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Oulu Ilves
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Ilves
1:0
May 8, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs AC Oulu
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Liiga Cup
Ilves vs AC Oulu
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Ilves
0:4
May 24, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs AC Oulu
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ilves Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Oulu 10 / 100
Ilves 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Oulu Ilves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Oulu's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ilves has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

AC Oulu has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AC Oulu VS Ilves
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Oulu

(Home)
08 Oct
KuPS
0 : 1
AC Oulu
18 Sept
AC Oulu
0 : 1
Inter Turku
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
Page 1 of 6

Ilves

(Away)
03 Oct
Ilves
3 : 0
Haka
19 Sept
TPS
0 : 3
Ilves
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1
Lahti
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)