Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Oulu vs Jaro

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Raatin stadion, Oulu
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Weckstrom L.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Weckstrom L.
52' Event
Makelainen J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AC Oulu
30%
Draws
23%
Jaro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Oulu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AC Oulu lately — more wins on the board than Jaro.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on AC Oulu taking it.
  • AC Oulu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jaro, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AC Oulu have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 20%
Jaro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Oulu Jaro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs AC Oulu
0:1
May 31, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Jaro
2:1
Apr 15, 2026 Suomen Cup
AC Oulu vs Jaro
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Jaro vs AC Oulu
2:3
Feb 7, 2026 Liiga Cup
Jaro vs AC Oulu
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Makelainen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Jaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Weckstrom L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Oulu 67 / 100
Jaro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Oulu Jaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Oulu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaro has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

AC Oulu found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: Jaro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Oulu VS Jaro
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Oulu

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Oulu
0 : 1
Inter Turku
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
Page 1 of 6

Jaro

(Away)
18 Sept
Lahti
1 : 1
Jaro
12 Sept
Jaro
1 : 1
SJK
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FC Germania Helsinki 2
Jokerit FC 4
Mando United 0
HIFK 16
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit / Lauttasaari 3
Toolon Taisto 4
Tuusulan Palloseura 0
JaPS 2
Stapa de Royale 2
Loiske Lempaala 1
HPS II 1
PK-35 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Karhu-Futis 1
Leki 6
SalPa 2 0
VPS 11
TPS 2 1
MaPS 4
VaKP 0
Abo IFK 6
Toukolan Teras 0
Valtti 1
FC SUMU / SOB 2
EPS 3
FC Kangasala 1
EIF Academy 2
Lasten 0
Haka 3
VPV 0
SJK Akatemia 3
Santa Claus 1
OLS Oulu 9
Rollon Pojat 3
KaPa 1924 2
VIFK 4
KPV Kokkola 5
Kajaanin Haka 0
VPS 2 4
HAPK 1
SJK 6
NiemU 0
PEPO 1
Vaajakoski 0
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Inter Turku -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LappBK 1
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 8
Heinapaan Hanhet 24 0
JS Hercules 10
MPS 0
EBK 7
POHU 3
Gnistan 0
VG-62 Naantali 1
Narpes Kraft 3
TPV 0
Tampere Utd 2
Kuopion Elo 0
Huima / Urho 10
Lahden Reipas 1
KuPS Akatemia 2
POHU/Hurjin 0
Atlantis 8
LePa 1
Honka 4
FC Futura 4
GrIFK 1
JaPS Akatemia 0
VJS 7
HauPa 2
GBK Kokkola 3
AC Oulu 1
Jaro 2
Ylivieska 2
JBK 1
FC Kiisto Vaasa 1
RoPS Rovaniemi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
VJS 2 4
LoPa 1
Keski-Uusimaa 2
KaPa 3
PoPo 2
PK-37 1
KoPa 0
MyPa 5
AC Estudiantes 0
PIF Pargas 4
TPV 2 0
Pallo-Iirot 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilves -
Fish United 0
SalPa 4
Ekenas IF 1
TPS 2
Gilla FC 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 5
Ylojarvi United 0
HJS 7
HPS 3
NJS 0
Kiffen 3 0
Mariehamn 5
Gnistan/M35 3
TiPS U21 2
Kiffen 1
PuiU Helsinki 2
KyPa 0
Union Plaani 4
KTP 1
Lahti 3
JIPPO II 0
JPS Jyvaskyla 2
Jippo 1
Mikkelin 2
1/32-finals
Jokerit FC 0
HIFK 5
Toolon Taisto 1
JaPS 9
Stapa de Royale 1
PK-35 8
TBD -
KuPS -
Leki 1
VPS 9
MaPS 0
Abo IFK 1
Valtti 0
EPS 2
EIF Academy 0
Haka 7
SJK Akatemia 2
OLS Oulu 1
Rollon Pojat 0
KPV Kokkola 4
VPS 2 1
SJK 6
PEPO 2
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Inter Turku -
TBD -
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 1
JS Hercules 4
EBK 5
POHU 4
Narpes Kraft 0
Tampere Utd 6
Huima / Urho 0
KuPS Akatemia 4
Atlantis 3
Honka 4
FC Futura 2
VJS 3
GBK Kokkola 0
Jaro 2
Ylivieska 0
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
TBD -
HJK -
VJS 2 1
KaPa 3
PoPo 1
MyPa 4
PIF Pargas 0
Pallo-Iirot 2
TBD -
Ilves -
SalPa 1
TPS 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 0
HJS 1
HPS 1
Mariehamn 2
Gnistan/M35 1
PuiU Helsinki 2
Union Plaani 2
Lahti 4
JPS Jyvaskyla 3
Mikkelin 5
1/16-finals
HIFK 1
JaPS 3
PK-35 0
KuPS 2
VPS 7
Abo IFK 0
EPS 0
Haka 4
SJK Akatemia 2
KPV Kokkola 0
SJK 3
PEPO 0
Inter Turku 8
JS Hercules 0
EBK 3
Tampere Utd 2
KuPS Akatemia 0
Honka 1
VJS 5
Jaro 3
RoPS Rovaniemi 0
HJK 4
KaPa 1
MyPa 2
Pallo-Iirot 0
Ilves 4
TPS 3
HJS 0
Mariehamn 3
PuiU Helsinki 0
Lahti 3
Mikkelin 1
1/8-finals
JaPS 0
KuPS 1
VPS 4
Haka 0
SJK Akatemia 0
SJK 5
Inter Turku 2
EBK 1
Honka 5
VJS 1
HJK 11
MyPa 1
Ilves 1
TPS 0
Mariehamn 0
Lahti 1
Quarter-finals
KuPS 0
VPS 1
SJK 1
Inter Turku 2
Honka 1
HJK 7
Ilves 5
Lahti 2
Semi-finals
VPS 2
Inter Turku 3
HJK 2
Ilves 1
Final
Inter Turku 1
HJK 0