Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Oulu vs Jaro

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Raatin stadion, Oulu
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kemppainen O. In: Jatta K.
Out: Kemppainen O.
49' Event
Pirinen J.
Assist: Korkko J.
58'
Kaukua T.

AI Match Summary

AC Oulu in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Oulu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AC Oulu
44%
Draws
20%
Jaro
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Oulu have won more games recently than Jaro.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AC Oulu have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 19%
Jaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Oulu Jaro
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Jaro
2:1
Apr 15, 2026 Suomen Cup
AC Oulu vs Jaro
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Jaro vs AC Oulu
2:3
Feb 7, 2026 Liiga Cup
Jaro vs AC Oulu
2:6
Sep 14, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs AC Oulu
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Pirinen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjonback A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Oulu 36 / 100
Jaro 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Oulu Jaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Oulu scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Jaro has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: AC Oulu remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AC Oulu VS Jaro
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Oulu

(Home)
18 Jul
AC Oulu
0 : 2
Gnistan
11 Jul
TPS
3 : 0
AC Oulu
27 Jun
AC Oulu
1 : 1
Lahti
23 Jun
VPS
5 : 1
AC Oulu
18 Jun
AC Oulu
2 : 1
Mariehamn
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Jaro

(Away)
19 Jul
Jaro
0 : 0
Inter Turku
04 Jul
Jaro
2 : 1
Ilves
27 Jun
TPS
3 : 2
Jaro
23 Jun
Jaro
1 : 1
Gnistan
17 Jun
Ilves
5 : 0
Jaro
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS1696129:1533
2Inter Turku1687123:1231
3VPS1676323:1327
4AC Oulu1682620:2026
5HJK1674527:2025
6Gnistan1674525:2025
7Lahti1664620:1522
8TPS1664620:1922
9Ilves1654728:3019
10SJK1635818:2514
11Jaro1626815:3212
12Mariehamn1604128:354
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)