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AC Oulu vs Lahti

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Raatin stadion, Oulu
AC Oulu Logo

AC Oulu

1 - 1
FT
Lahti Logo

Lahti

Our Tip

Match Events

55'
Ghezali L.
62'
Sub
Ghezali L. In: Kallio E.
Out: Ghezali L.
62'
Sub
Ojala M. In: Mendolin I.
Out: Ojala M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between AC Oulu and Lahti finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AC Oulu
20%
Draws
47%
Lahti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lahti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lahti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 19%
Lahti Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Oulu Lahti
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Lahti
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs AC Oulu
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Lahti
3:0
Jul 14, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs AC Oulu
1:2
Jun 12, 2024 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Lahti
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Oulu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Lahti Compare

Top Goalscorer Montiel C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Oulu 36 / 100
Lahti 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Oulu Lahti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AC Oulu scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Lahti has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AC Oulu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Oulu VS Lahti
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Oulu

(Home)
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
16 Aug
AC Oulu
2 : 3
Inter Turku
09 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 1
HJK
02 Aug
AC Oulu
1 : 0
Ilves
Page 1 of 6

Lahti

(Away)
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
21 Aug
SJK
1 : 2
Lahti
16 Aug
Lahti
1 : 2
KuPS
09 Aug
Inter Turku
0 : 0
Lahti
01 Aug
Lahti
2 : 0
Jaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)