Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A.C. Savoia vs Casarano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro, Giugliano
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Nepi A. In: Polizzi M.
Out: Nepi A.
57'
Sub
Grandolfo F. In: Leonetti V.
Out: Grandolfo F.
57'
Sub
Zanellato N. In: Cuzzarella C.
Out: Zanellato N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between A.C. Savoia and Casarano finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
A.C. Savoia
35%
Draws
41%
Casarano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Casarano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A.C. Savoia come out ahead of Casarano on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 20%
Casarano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.C. Savoia Casarano
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.72 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
A.C. Savoia vs Casarano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A.C. Savoia Compare

Top Goalscorer Meola F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Casarano Compare

Top Goalscorer Knezovic B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.C. Savoia 32 / 100
Casarano 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.C. Savoia Casarano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: A.C. Savoia scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Casarano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

A.C. Savoia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A.C. Savoia VS Casarano
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

A.C. Savoia

(Home)
03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
Page 1 of 6

Casarano

(Away)
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1
Barletta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
3 Bari 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
4 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
5 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
7 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
8 Casertana 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
9 Audace Cerignola 8 3 2 3 11:7 11
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
14 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
15 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 A.C. Savoia 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 8 1 3 4 8:12 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)