Sport Picks

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A.C. Savoia vs USD Ragusa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Guida M.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Guida M.

AI Match Summary

A.C. Savoia in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored A.C. Savoia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
A.C. Savoia
35%
Draws
16%
USD Ragusa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: A.C. Savoia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to A.C. Savoia lately — more wins on the board than USD Ragusa.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on A.C. Savoia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and A.C. Savoia have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 68%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.C. Savoia USD Ragusa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 8 12
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.8 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group I
A.C. Savoia vs USD Ragusa
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs A.C. Savoia
3:2
Mar 30, 2014 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs A.C. Savoia
0:3
Nov 17, 2013 Serie D - Group I
A.C. Savoia vs USD Ragusa
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A.C. Savoia Compare

Top Goalscorer Guida M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

USD Ragusa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.C. Savoia 95 / 100
USD Ragusa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.C. Savoia USD Ragusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A.C. Savoia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A.C. Savoia's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

A.C. Savoia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: USD Ragusa conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

A.C. Savoia VS USD Ragusa
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

A.C. Savoia

(Home)
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2
A.C. Savoia
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3
A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6

USD Ragusa

(Away)
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
06 Sept
USD Ragusa
2 : 2
ASD Modica Calcio
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
ACR Messina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)