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Academia Control Orientado vs Everton La Plata

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academia Control Orientado play Everton La Plata in the Torneo Promocional Amateur. It looks like a close match. Recently, Academia Control Orientado averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Everton La Plata averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Academia Control Orientado won 3, Everton La Plata won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 3-0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Academia Control Orientado and 0.98 for Everton La Plata. This points to a Academia Control Orientado double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Academia Control Orientado
28%
Draws
27%
Everton La Plata
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Academia Control Orientado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Academia Control Orientado picked up more points recently compared to Everton La Plata.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 0.98 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Academia Control Orientado Clean Sheet 23%
Everton La Plata Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia Control Orientado Everton La Plata
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 2 8
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 1.33 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.71 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Academia Control Orientado vs Everton La Plata
3-0
Apr 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Everton La Plata vs Academia Control Orientado
2-1
Mar 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Academia Control Orientado vs Everton La Plata
3-1
Feb 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Everton La Plata vs Academia Control Orientado
0-2
Jan 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Academia Control Orientado vs Everton La Plata
1-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia Control Orientado 45 / 100
Everton La Plata 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia Control Orientado Everton La Plata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Academia Control Orientado or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Academia Control Orientado attacking → ← attacking Everton La Plata

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academia Control Orientado scored in 83% of their last 6 games.

Everton La Plata let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Academia Control Orientado went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Everton La Plata lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 35
1.14 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportivo Metalurgico650111:315
2Social Atletico Television65017:215
3Nautico Hacoaj63217:311
4Estrella de Berisso52215:48
5Defensores de Glew52129:77
6Provincial61143:94
7Atletico Pilar51044:63
8Juventud de Bernal50052:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Uribelarrea74217:314
3Academia Control Orientado63218:511
4Buenos Aires City72325:49
5Belgrano Zarate72323:39
6Everton La Plata72235:68
7Ezeiza61322:46
8Las Mandarinas72056:116
9Alumni Los Hornos71244:75