Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Academia del Balompie vs Oriente Petrolero

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Municipal de El Alto (Villa Ingenio), El Alto
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Valda D.
11' Event
Mangala E.
Assist: Lovera J.
19' Event
Fajardo J. F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional game between Academia del Balompie and Oriente Petrolero finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academia del Balompie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Academia del Balompie
15%
Draws
46%
Oriente Petrolero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oriente Petrolero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Academia del Balompie haven't matched Oriente Petrolero's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Academia del Balompie's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Academia del Balompie have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Academia del Balompie Clean Sheet 13%
Oriente Petrolero Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia del Balompie Oriente Petrolero
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.46 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Division Profesional
Academia del Balompie vs Oriente Petrolero
3:1
Dec 11, 2025 Division Profesional
Academia del Balompie vs Oriente Petrolero
5:2
Jul 13, 2025 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Academia del Balompie
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academia del Balompie Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perozo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Oriente Petrolero Compare

Top Goalscorer Mangala E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia del Balompie 57 / 100
Oriente Petrolero 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia del Balompie Oriente Petrolero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academia del Balompie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.67 goals per match.

Academia del Balompie's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Oriente Petrolero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Academia del Balompie has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Academia del Balompie VS Oriente Petrolero
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Academia del Balompie

(Home)
02 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Academia del Balompie
29 Sept
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Academia del Balompie
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
19 Sept
Always Ready
1 : 4
Academia del Balompie
15 Sept
Academia del Balompie
1 : 2
The Strongest
Page 1 of 6

Oriente Petrolero

(Away)
04 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1
Oriente Petrolero
01 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 1
The Strongest
27 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 0
Oriente Petrolero
20 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
3 : 1
Blooming
17 Sept
Tomayapo
0 : 2
Oriente Petrolero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 20 13 6 1 47:13 45
2 Bolivar 20 14 3 3 54:22 45
3 The Strongest 20 12 6 2 39:22 42
4 Real Potosi 20 8 8 4 27:14 32
5 Oriente Petrolero 20 9 3 8 36:27 30
6 Aurora 20 7 9 4 31:27 30
7 Guabira 20 8 5 7 32:39 29
8 Blooming 20 6 9 5 30:22 27
9 Nacional Potosi 20 8 3 9 30:28 27
10 Independiente 20 7 4 9 27:35 25
11 Real Oruro 20 6 3 11 32:50 21
12 Academia del Balompie 20 6 2 12 31:45 20
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 20 6 2 12 21:40 20
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 20 5 3 12 26:39 18
15 Tomayapo 20 4 4 12 15:39 16
16 GV San Jose 20 2 8 10 21:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)