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Academia del Balompie vs Real Potosi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Municipal de El Alto (Villa Ingenio), El Alto
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Rivas J.
Assist: Castellon V.
30'
Guillermo A.
34'
Cuellar D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Academia del Balompie
15%
Draws
53%
Real Potosi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Academia del Balompie haven't matched Real Potosi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Real Potosi's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Real Potosi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Potosi, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Real Potosi have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Academia del Balompie Clean Sheet 12%
Real Potosi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia del Balompie Real Potosi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 2 10
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Copa Pacena
Real Potosi vs Academia del Balompie
3:1
Aug 19, 2026 Copa Pacena
Academia del Balompie vs Real Potosi
2:3
Jul 9, 2026 Division Profesional
Real Potosi vs Academia del Balompie
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academia del Balompie Compare

Top Goalscorer Briceno J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Real Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia del Balompie 22 / 100
Real Potosi 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia del Balompie Real Potosi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Potosi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Academia del Balompie scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Real Potosi conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Academia del Balompie has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Academia del Balompie VS Real Potosi
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Academia del Balompie

(Home)
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0
Academia del Balompie
02 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Academia del Balompie
29 Sept
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Academia del Balompie
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
19 Sept
Always Ready
1 : 4
Academia del Balompie
Page 1 of 6

Real Potosi

(Away)
06 Oct
Real Potosi
4 : 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1
Aurora
29 Sept
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Academia del Balompie
25 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3 : 0
Real Potosi
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 8 5 2 1 24:7 17
2 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 14:22 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
3 Guabira 8 4 0 4 11:15 12
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 8 2 1 5 13:17 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 8 5 3 0 17:7 18
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 8 1 1 6 11:20 4
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)