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Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Complejo Deportivo Socialista, Carabobo
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Castellanos J.
45'
Sub
Da Silva C. In: Ibarra R.
Out: Da Silva C.
48'
Casiani L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Academia Puerto Cabello
30%
Draws
23%
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Academia Puerto Cabello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Academia Puerto Cabello have won more games recently than Deportivo La Guaira.
  • Academia Puerto Cabello are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Academia Puerto Cabello Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia Puerto Cabello Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:1
May 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Puerto Cabello
0:2
May 3, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:1
Mar 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Puerto Cabello
0:0
Jan 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Puerto Cabello
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academia Puerto Cabello Compare

Top Goalscorer Marchan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Castellanos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia Puerto Cabello 59 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia Puerto Cabello Deportivo La Guaira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academia Puerto Cabello Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academia Puerto Cabello scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Deportivo La Guaira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Academia Puerto Cabello has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Academia Puerto Cabello VS Deportivo La Guaira
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Academia Puerto Cabello

(Home)
11 Oct
Trujillanos
0 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
19 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
2 : 1
Portuguesa
15 Sept
Dep. Tachira
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2
Carabobo
07 Sept
Universidad Central
0 : 0
Academia Puerto Cabello
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo La Guaira

(Away)
10 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Universidad Central
06 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 0
Academia Anzoategui
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 12 10 1 1 28:9 31
2 Dep. Tachira 12 8 2 2 28:15 26
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 12 6 4 2 16:9 22
4 Carabobo 12 6 3 3 13:8 21
5 Portuguesa 12 4 6 2 14:12 18
6 Deportivo La Guaira 12 5 2 5 21:16 17
7 Monagas 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
8 Estudiantes Merida 12 4 4 4 13:14 16
9 Universidad Central 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
10 Caracas 12 3 5 4 13:15 14
11 Trujillanos 12 3 2 7 12:19 11
12 Rayo Zuliano 12 3 2 7 17:27 11
13 Zamora 12 2 2 8 11:25 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 12 1 2 9 6:21 5
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