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Academia vs Cacerense

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Matogrossense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Diego Noronha
64' Event
Douglas
69' Event
Diego Noronha

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2023 game between Academia and Cacerense finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Academia
15%
Draws
85%
Cacerense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cacerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Academia haven't matched Cacerense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cacerense a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Academia Clean Sheet 18%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia Cacerense
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.82 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Matogrossense
Academia vs Cacerense
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academia Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Noronha
2 Goals
Assists Leader Douglas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Cacerense Compare

Top Goalscorer Tayron
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia 10 / 100
Cacerense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia Cacerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cacerense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Cacerense has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Academia found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (34 games).

Away concern: Cacerense has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Academia VS Cacerense
0 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Academia

(Home)
22 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Luverdense
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Academia
08 Feb
Mixto
3 : 1
Academia
02 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Cuiaba
29 Jan
Academia
0 : 1
Primavera AC
Page 1 of 7

Cacerense

(Away)
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 9 9 0 0 26:4 27
2 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 5 3 1 12:8 18
3 Operario VG 9 4 4 1 18:11 16
4 Dom Bosco 9 4 2 3 9:10 14
5 Luverdense 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
6 Academia 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
7 Mixto 9 2 3 4 9:13 9
8 Nova Mutum EC 9 2 3 4 8:9 9
9 Cacerense 9 2 2 5 7:12 8
10 Sport Sinop 9 0 2 7 7:21 2
Promotion - Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)