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Academia vs Caceres

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024
Academia Logo

Academia

3 - 2
FT
Caceres Logo

Caceres

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Academia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Academia
20%
Draws
80%
Caceres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caceres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Caceres's 1.24 goals per match outpaces what Academia have produced (0.9).
  • Win probability leans Caceres's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Academia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Academia Clean Sheet 19%
Caceres Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia Caceres
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 7 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.9 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Academia vs Caceres
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia 24 / 100
Caceres 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia Caceres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caceres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Caceres has conceded goals in 65% of their last 17 outings.

Academia found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Caceres has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Academia VS Caceres
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.33
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Academia

(Home)
22 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Luverdense
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Academia
08 Feb
Mixto
3 : 1
Academia
02 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Cuiaba
29 Jan
Academia
0 : 1
Primavera AC
Page 1 of 6

Caceres

(Away)
12 Oct
Primavera AC
2 : 2
Caceres
05 Oct
Caceres
0 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
28 Sept
Academia
3 : 2
Caceres
14 Sept
Caceres
1 : 1
Operario VG
08 Sept
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Caceres
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Mutum EC 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 Operario VG 6 3 3 0 12:4 12
3 Mixto 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
4 Academia 6 3 0 3 8:11 9
5 Caceres 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
6 Primavera AC 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
7 Cuiaba 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024 (Play Offs)