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Academia vs Primavera AC

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024
Academia Logo

Academia

4 - 2
FT
Primavera AC Logo

Primavera AC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Academia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Academia
15%
Draws
85%
Primavera AC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Primavera AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Academia haven't matched Primavera AC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Primavera AC a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Primavera AC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Primavera AC, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Primavera AC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Academia Clean Sheet 20%
Primavera AC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia Primavera AC
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 11
Draws 3 13
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2025 Matogrossense
Academia vs Primavera AC
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Academia vs Primavera AC
4:2
Jan 27, 2024 Matogrossense
Academia vs Primavera AC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia 16 / 100
Primavera AC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia Primavera AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera AC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Primavera AC conceded in 70% of 37 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Academia found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Primavera AC has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Primavera AC
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Academia

(Home)
22 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Luverdense
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Academia
08 Feb
Mixto
3 : 1
Academia
02 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Cuiaba
29 Jan
Academia
0 : 1
Primavera AC
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Primavera AC

(Away)
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
30 May
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Primavera AC
23 May
Gama
4 : 0
Primavera AC
17 May
Primavera AC
1 : 0
Luverdense
09 May
Inhumas
0 : 2
Primavera AC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Mutum EC 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 Operario VG 6 3 3 0 12:4 12
3 Mixto 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
4 Academia 6 3 0 3 8:11 9
5 Caceres 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
6 Primavera AC 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
7 Cuiaba 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024 (Play Offs)