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Academica Boavista vs Academica Porto Novo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academica Boavista in this Campeonato Nacional 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Academica Boavista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Academica Boavista
17%
Draws
70%
Academica Porto Novo
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Academica Porto Novo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Academica Boavista haven't matched Academica Porto Novo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Academica Porto Novo a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Academica Boavista Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Porto Novo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Boavista Academica Porto Novo
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 4 11
Draws 7 12
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.33 1
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.83 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Boavista vs Academica Porto Novo
1:0
May 21, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Academica Boavista
0:0
Jun 6, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Boavista vs Academica Porto Novo
1:1
May 26, 2012 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Academica Boavista
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Boavista 16 / 100
Academica Porto Novo 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Boavista Academica Porto Novo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Academica Porto Novo conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Academica Boavista remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Academica Boavista scored in 50% of their last 26 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica Boavista VS Academica Porto Novo
0.33 Goals Scored 1
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.38
33% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica Boavista

(Home)
19 Jun
Morabeza
3 : 0
Academica Boavista
11 Jun
Academica Boavista
1 : 0
Academica Porto Novo
04 Jun
Palmeira
2 : 0
Academica Boavista
28 May
Academica Boavista
1 : 0
Palmeira
21 May
Academica Porto Novo
0 : 0
Academica Boavista
Page 1 of 6

Academica Porto Novo

(Away)
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
1 : 1
SC Africa Show
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Scorpion Vermelho
0 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rosariense651012:316
2Sporting Praia630310:109
3GD Varandinha62134:57
4Ultramarina61053:113
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeira641110:513
2Academica Boavista62222:58
3Morabeza61325:46
4Academica Porto Novo61235:85
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica do Mindelo632112:811
2Botafogo62318:69
3Mindelense62133:67
4Barreirense61235:85
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams