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Academica Boavista vs Morabeza

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2022 game between Academica Boavista and Morabeza finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Academica Boavista
44%
Draws
20%
Morabeza
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Morabeza come out ahead of Academica Boavista on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Academica Boavista Clean Sheet 20%
Morabeza Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Boavista Morabeza
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 4 7
Draws 7 14
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs Academica Boavista
3:0
May 14, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Boavista vs Morabeza
0:0
May 31, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs Academica Boavista
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Boavista 36 / 100
Morabeza 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Boavista Morabeza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morabeza has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Academica Boavista remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Academica Boavista found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (26 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Academica Boavista VS Morabeza
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rosariense651012:316
2Sporting Praia630310:109
3GD Varandinha62134:57
4Ultramarina61053:113
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeira641110:513
2Academica Boavista62222:58
3Morabeza61325:46
4Academica Porto Novo61235:85
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica do Mindelo632112:811
2Botafogo62318:69
3Mindelense62133:67
4Barreirense61235:85