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Academica do Fogo vs Academica Praia

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2019 game between Academica do Fogo and Academica Praia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica Praia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Academica do Fogo
6%
Draws
4%
Academica Praia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Academica do Fogo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Academica Praia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Academica do Fogo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Academica do Fogo Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Praia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica do Fogo Academica Praia
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 12 10
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Fogo vs Academica Praia
0:1
Apr 6, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Praia vs Academica do Fogo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica do Fogo 85 / 100
Academica Praia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica do Fogo Academica Praia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica do Fogo found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (25 games).

Recent resilience: Academica do Fogo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Academica Praia conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Academica do Fogo VS Academica Praia
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.14
25% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica do Fogo

(Home)
15 Jun
Juventude
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
09 Jun
Academica do Fogo
3 : 1
Rosariense
26 May
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
Academica do Fogo
18 May
Academica do Fogo
2 : 3
Academico do Sal
12 May
Rosariense
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
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Academica Praia

(Away)
24 May
Mindelense
5 : 2
Academica Praia
17 May
Academica Praia
0 : 1
Palmeira
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
03 May
Academica Praia
1 : 0
Botafogo
26 Apr
Sport Sal-Rei
1 : 2
Academica Praia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mindelense63218:411
2Academica Praia62224:48
3Academica Porto Novo61417:97
4Academica do Fogo60423:54
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ultramarina632113:911
2Santo Crucifixo62227:58
3Sporting da Brava62229:128
4Academico 8361238:115
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oasis63217:811
2Onze Estrelas63125:410
3Celtic62316:19
4GD Varandinha60244:92
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams