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Academica do Fogo vs Rosariense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Evaldo
' Event
71' Event
Medina F.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2024 game between Academica do Fogo and Rosariense finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica do Fogo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Academica do Fogo
6%
Draws
4%
Rosariense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Academica do Fogo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Academica do Fogo haven't matched Rosariense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Academica do Fogo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Academica do Fogo Clean Sheet 19%
Rosariense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica do Fogo Rosariense
Matches Played 24 18
Wins 6 7
Draws 12 5
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Fogo vs Rosariense
3:1
May 12, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Rosariense vs Academica do Fogo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academica do Fogo Compare

Top Goalscorer Evaldo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medina F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rosariense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica do Fogo 85 / 100
Rosariense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica do Fogo Rosariense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Academica do Fogo scored in 63% of their last 24 outings.

Rosariense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 18 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Academica do Fogo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Academica do Fogo VS Rosariense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academico do Sal63129:810
2Academica do Fogo622211:68
3Rosariense62225:78
4Juventude61328:126
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeira633013:512
2Morabeza62317:79
3Barreirense62228:88
4GD Varandinha60247:152
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boavista da Praia651012:216
2FC Derby63217:411
3Ultramarina61145:134
4Sanjoanenses60243:82