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Academica do Mindelo vs Rosariense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2022 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Academica do Mindelo
35%
Draws
32%
Rosariense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Rosariense haven't matched Academica do Mindelo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Academica do Mindelo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Academica do Mindelo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Academica do Mindelo Clean Sheet 20%
Rosariense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica do Mindelo Rosariense
Matches Played 24 18
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Rosariense vs Academica do Mindelo
0:4
Jun 25, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Mindelo vs Rosariense
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica do Mindelo 85 / 100
Rosariense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica do Mindelo Rosariense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academica do Mindelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Academica do Mindelo scored in 96% of their last 24 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Rosariense conceded in 72% of 18 recent games.

Solid form: Academica do Mindelo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Academica do Mindelo VS Rosariense
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica do Mindelo

(Home)
08 Jul
Academica do Mindelo
1 : 2
Palmeira
01 Jul
Vulcanico Clube
3 : 6
Academica do Mindelo
24 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Vulcanico Clube
11 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Morabeza
04 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 4
Academica do Mindelo
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Rosariense

(Away)
15 Jun
Rosariense
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
09 Jun
Academica do Fogo
3 : 1
Rosariense
26 May
Rosariense
1 : 1
Juventude
18 May
Juventude
1 : 2
Rosariense
12 May
Rosariense
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Rosariense 2
Academica do Mindelo 6
Palmeira 1
Botafogo 0
Final
Academica do Mindelo 1
Palmeira 0