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Academica Porto Novo vs CD Benfica

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional game between Academica Porto Novo and CD Benfica finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica Porto Novo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Academica Porto Novo
6%
Draws
4%
CD Benfica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Academica Porto Novo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica Porto Novo come out ahead of CD Benfica on wins alone.
  • Academica Porto Novo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Academica Porto Novo Clean Sheet 20%
CD Benfica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Porto Novo CD Benfica
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 10 3
Draws 11 2
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs CD Benfica
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Porto Novo 85 / 100
CD Benfica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Porto Novo CD Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Academica Porto Novo scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

CD Benfica let in goals in 73% of their last 11 matches.

Academica Porto Novo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Academica Porto Novo VS CD Benfica
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 83%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica Porto Novo

(Home)
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
1 : 1
SC Africa Show
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Scorpion Vermelho
0 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
Page 1 of 6

CD Benfica

(Away)
14 Jun
CD Benfica
1 : 3
Santo Crucifixo
06 Jun
Onze Unidos
4 : 0
CD Benfica
31 May
CD Benfica
0 : 4
SC Africa Show
23 May
Academica Porto Novo
4 : 0
CD Benfica
10 May
CD Benfica
2 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeira651012:316
2Mindelense650113:415
3Academica Porto Novo64119:413
4SC Africa Show633011:512
5Boavista da Praia64029:412
6Cutelinho62315:49
7Academico do Sal62136:77
8Onze Unidos61239:105
9Santo Crucifixo61235:105
10CD Benfica61053:183
11SC Atletico60244:102
12Scorpion Vermelho60154:111
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional (Play Offs)