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Academica Porto Novo vs Sport Sal-Rei

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2018 game between Academica Porto Novo and Sport Sal-Rei finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica Porto Novo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Academica Porto Novo
6%
Draws
4%
Sport Sal-Rei
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Academica Porto Novo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica Porto Novo come out ahead of Sport Sal-Rei on wins alone.
  • Academica Porto Novo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Academica Porto Novo have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Academica Porto Novo Clean Sheet 20%
Sport Sal-Rei Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Porto Novo Sport Sal-Rei
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 11 2
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 0.75 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Sport Sal-Rei
2:1
Apr 7, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Sport Sal-Rei vs Academica Porto Novo
1:1
May 28, 2016 Campeonato Nacional
Sport Sal-Rei vs Academica Porto Novo
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Porto Novo 85 / 100
Sport Sal-Rei 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Porto Novo Sport Sal-Rei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Porto Novo's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sport Sal-Rei has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Academica Porto Novo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica Porto Novo VS Sport Sal-Rei
0.75 Goals Scored 0.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.17
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica Porto Novo

(Home)
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
1 : 1
SC Africa Show
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Scorpion Vermelho
0 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
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Sport Sal-Rei

(Away)
24 May
Sport Sal-Rei
2 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
18 May
Paulense
2 : 2
Sport Sal-Rei
10 May
Sport Sal-Rei
0 : 1
Sanjoanenses
04 May
Boavista da Praia
2 : 0
Sport Sal-Rei
26 Apr
Sport Sal-Rei
1 : 2
Academica Praia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Praia63216:411
2Mindelense62406:410
3Academica Porto Novo62228:78
4Sport Sal-Rei60245:102
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Foguetoes63215:411
2Belo Horizonte62319:59
3Scorpion Vermelho62318:69
4Morabeza61054:113
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeira63128:710
2Sporting Praia62225:58
3Vulcanico62224:48
4Barreirense61327:86
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams