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Academica Praia vs Academica Porto Novo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2019 game between Academica Praia and Academica Porto Novo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Academica Praia
22%
Draws
60%
Academica Porto Novo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Academica Porto Novo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica Praia come out ahead of Academica Porto Novo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Academica Porto Novo a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Academica Praia Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Porto Novo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Praia Academica Porto Novo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Academica Praia
2:1
Apr 20, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Praia vs Academica Porto Novo
1:1
May 12, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Praia vs Academica Porto Novo
2:1
Apr 14, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Academica Praia
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Praia 20 / 100
Academica Porto Novo 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Praia Academica Porto Novo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Praia found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Academica Porto Novo conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Academica Praia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Academica Praia VS Academica Porto Novo
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mindelense63218:411
2Academica Praia62224:48
3Academica Porto Novo61417:97
4Academica do Fogo60423:54
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ultramarina632113:911
2Santo Crucifixo62227:58
3Sporting da Brava62229:128
4Academico 8361238:115
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oasis63217:811
2Onze Estrelas63125:410
3Celtic62316:19
4GD Varandinha60244:92